Résumé
Objective:To study the epidemiological characteristics and spatio-temporal aggregation of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) in Shandong Province, and to provide reference for formulating reasonable prevention and control strategies.Methods:Retrospective analysis was used to collect HFRS surveillance data and confirmed case data in Shandong Province from 2017 to 2020 in the "China Disease Prevention and Control Information System Infectious Disease Surveillance System". Geoda 1.18 software was used for global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis, SaTScan 9.6 software was used for spatio-temporal scanning analysis, and ArcGis 10.7 software was used for map drawing and visual display.Results:A total of 3 753 cases of HFRS were reported in Shandong Province from 2017 to 2020, including 56 deaths. The annual incidence rate was 1.26/100 000, 1.22/100 000, 0.75/100 000 and 0.53/100 000, respectively, with an average annual incidence rate of 0.94/100 000. The incidence of HFRS was obviously seasonal, mainly concentrated in autumn and winter from October to December, accounting for 50.41% (1 892/3 753). The age of onset was mainly 30-59 years old, accounting for 61.68% (2 315/3 753). The male to female ratio was 2.76 ∶ 1.00 (2 756 ∶ 997). The occupation distribution was mainly farmers, accounting for 81.99% (3 077/3 753). The global spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that HFRS showed spatial aggregation areas in each year from 2017 to 2020 (Moran' I = 0.38, 0.33, 0.59, 0.46, Z = 7.47, 7.23, 10.69, 8.66, P < 0.001). The local spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that "high-high" aggregation areas were mainly concentrated in central and southeast of Shandong Province, while "low-low" aggregation areas were mainly concentrated in northwest of Shandong Province. Spatio-temporal scanning analysis revealed 1 type Ⅰ agglomerations and 2 type Ⅱ aggregation areas. The type Ⅰ aggregation areas occurred from October to November 2018, covering 22 counties (districts) of 5 cities in Qingdao, Yantai, Weifang, Weihai and Rizhao. The first type Ⅱ aggregation area occurred from October to November 2017, involving 23 counties (districts) of 8 cities in Jinan, Zibo, Zaozhuang, Weifang, Jining, Tai 'an, Rizhao and Linyi. The second type Ⅱ aggregation area occurred in Jinxiang County, Jining City from February to March 2017. Conclusion:The incidence of HFRS in Shandong Province from 2017 to 2020 has obvious spatio-temporal aggregation, and the hot spots are concentrated in central and southeast of Shandong Province, which should be regarded as a key area for prevention and control of HFRS.
Résumé
Objective To analyze the incidence trends and epidemiological characteristics of natural focus and vector borne infectious diseases in Zibo City between 2004 and 2015,and to provide evidence for control and prevention of the diseases.Method Surveillance data of natural focus and vector borne infectious diseases in Zibo City between 2004 and 2015 from the National Disease Reporting Information System were analyzed via descriptive epidemiological methods.Results A total of 10 natural foci and vector borne infectious diseases and 3 287 cases including 55 death cases were reported in Zibo City from 2004 to 2015.The average annual incidence was 6.24/100 000 and the case fatality rate was 1.67％ (55/3 287).The incidence rate increased in recent years after the lowest rate in 2009 (2.83/100 000),and the rate in 2015 was 8.83/100 000.The top three diseases with higher incidence were hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (3.44/100 000),brucellosis (1.48/100 000) and tsutsugamushi fever (0.53/100 000).The top three high-prevalence areas with higher incidence were Yiyuan County (13.22/100 000),Zichuan District (9.73/100 000) and Boshan District (6.13/100 000).The cases mainly occurred from March to May and September,October,which accounting for 27.47％ (903/3 287) and 24.64％ (810/3 287),respectively of the total.The 40-59 year-oldage group was the highest,accounting for 48.13％ (1 582/3 287)of the total.And 75.48％ (2 481/3 287) of reported cases were farmers.Conclusions The overall incidence of the natural focus and vector borne infectious diseases in Zibo City has a annual increasing trend in recent years,while the incidence of brucellosis and tsutsugamushi fever have continued to rise since 2004.These diseases have showed a significant seasonal distribution and population distribution.It is necessary to conduct targeted prevention and control strategies.